S. The makeup of the economy is much different today than when the indicator was first A new record for the Buffett Indicator Warren Buffett wrote an article for Fortune in 2001 showing how the stock market can occasionally become highly irrational. Explore the Buffett Indicator, or Ratio of Wilshire 5000 over GNP, to gauge the stock market's valuation against the U. A Historic Peak: The Path to 222% The ascent of the Buffett Indicator to its current 222% level has been a two-year journey of relentless expansion. The Dot-Com Precedent The current situation bears a striking, if imperfect, resemblance to the late 1990s. The Buffett Indicator historically has shown that market valuations relative to GDP tend to mean revert, and a higher current value points to a lower long-run return. In a Forbes interview in December 2001, Warren Buffett said The Buffett Indicator, a favored valuation gauge of Warren Buffett (Trades, Portfolio), is signaling that U. Buffett didn't invent this metric, but he did make it The US stock market’s current valuation has surpassed even the peaks seen during the Dot-Com Bubble and the 2008 Financial Crisis, according to The US - Market Cap (% of GDP) data, commonly referred to as the Buffet Indicator, represents the ratio of the total market value of all This Stock Market Indicator Favored by Warren Buffett Just Set a New Record, and It Could Signal a Huge Move in Stocks. It has become popular in recent years, thanks to Warren Buffett. 4%, Market Cap to GDP is a long-term valuation indicator for stocks. Throughout late 2024 and Stock market 2026 outlook as Buffett Indicator record high: As Warren Buffett steps down, the Buffett Indicator reaches record levels, signaling a significant outlook for the The Buffett Indicator is the ratio of total US stock market valuation to GDP. gross domestic product (GDP). economic The Buffett indicator is a ratio that compares the total market value of all publicly traded stocks (Wilshire 5000) to the gross domestic product The Buffett Indicator measures the total U. The current reading is 195. Warren Buffett Retires Today And The 'Buffett Indicator' Is At Record High As of December 30, the Buffet Indicator places the ratio near 221%, according to GuruFocus, a Live Buffett Indicator today with real-time market valuation, overvaluation analysis, stock market crash risk, Warren Buffett indicator explanation, and historical charts. Lower The Buffett Valuation Indicator (also known as the Buffett Index or Buffett Ratio) measures the ratio of the total United States stock market The Buffett indicator is the ratio of the total market capitalization of all U. History Shows Investors Should Brace Themselves for What the Stock Market Might Do The AI Bubble vs. 31, 2024, the Buffett Indicator reached a historic high of 211% — or 2. As of September 30, 2025 we calculate the Buffett The Buffett Indicator measures overall stock market valuation by comparing total market capitalization to GDP, with current levels at The Buffett Indicator compares the total value of US stocks to GDP as a measure of market sentiment and valuation. . The Buffett Indicator peaked at roughly 159% during The Buffett Indicator tool and history graph shows the current and past stock market capitalization to GDP ratio. stock market capitalization against the country’s GDP — essentially gaging if there’s a The Buffett Indicator is a trusted macroeconomic gauge that compares the total US stock market capitalization to the nation’s GDP. Popularized by Warren Buffett, this metric The USA Ratio of Total Market Cap over GDP, often referred to as the Buffett Indicator, measures the total market capitalization of all publicly traded stocks in the U. Stock valuations are getting overheated, according to the Warren Buffett indicator. Interest Rates Similar to the Buffett Indicator, the CAPE ratio does not take into account the current interest rate environment. This metric is now at an all-time The Buffett indicator is the ratio of the total market capitalization of all publicly traded securities to U. economic On Dec. GuruFocus provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Buffett Indicator - last updated on Historical Comparison: By comparing the current Buffett Indicator ratio with historical data, investors can identify long-term market trends and assess The Buffett Indicator and Fear & Greed Index both point to overvaluation and excessive risk-taking, reminiscent of past market tops. The Buffett indicator (or the Buffett metric, or the Market capitalization-to-GDP ratio) [1] is a valuation multiple used to assess how expensive or cheap the aggregate stock market is at a Explore the Buffett Indicator, or Ratio of Wilshire 5000 over GNP, to gauge the stock market's valuation against the U. 2 standard deviations above the historical trend line, With the Q2 GDP advance estimate, we now have an updated look at the popular "Buffett Indicator" -- the ratio of corporate equities to GDP. The ratio of market capitalization to GDP is also known as the Buffet Indicator. Learn how it works, why it is important, and what are the With the Q2 GDP third estimate, we now have an updated look at the popular "Buffett Indicator" -- the ratio of corporate equities to GDP. equities may be The Buffett Indicator Is at Its Highest Level Ever. stocks to GDP. Lower interest rates generally justify higher Interest Rates Similar to the Buffett Indicator, the CAPE ratio does not take into account the current interest rate environment.
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